Should You Buy or Rent During a Three-Year MacDill AFB Assignment?
The short answer: If you plan to buy a home, live in it for three years and sell when you PCS, renting may actually be the better financial decision. Three years may not give the property enough time to overcome the costs of buying, owning and selling. If your plan is to keep the home as a rental after you leave Tampa, however, buying becomes a very different conversation.
For us, the question isn't simply, “Can you buy?”
It's:
“What are you going to do with the house when you leave?”
That is one of the most important conversations we have with military families relocating to MacDill AFB.
Before We Buy, We Talk About How You're Going to Leave
Military buyers know that another set of orders is eventually coming.
So before we're talking about countertops, square footage and neighborhoods, we want to understand the exit strategy.
When you leave MacDill, are you planning to:
- Sell the property?
- Convert it into a rental?
- Keep it as part of a long-term real estate portfolio?
- Possibly return to it after retirement?
- Or are you not sure yet?
Those answers can completely change what I recommend buying.
|
Your Plan |
How We Typically Look at It |
|
Buy → live there 3 years → sell |
We are cautious. Renting may make more sense. |
|
Buy → renovate → sell |
Possible, but creating enough value in three years can be difficult. |
|
Buy → live there → keep as rental |
Worth analyzing as both a home and future investment. |
|
Buy → keep as future retirement home |
A longer holding period changes the equation significantly. |
|
Not sure what happens after PCS |
We run both scenarios before making a recommendation. |
I would much rather have this conversation before someone purchases than three years later when they're packing for the next duty station.
Should You Buy If You Know You'll Sell in Three Years?
Maybe.
But this is where we may surprise people.
We're REALTORS®. We obviously make our living helping people buy and sell real estate.
But there are absolutely situations where we'll tell a military family:
I think you should rent during this assignment.
Three years is a relatively short holding period in real estate.
The challenge isn't simply whether the house appreciates.
The house has to appreciate enough to overcome all the friction involved in buying, owning and eventually selling it.
That can include:
- Loan and closing costs
- Prepaid taxes and insurance
- VA funding fee, if applicable
- Homeowners insurance
- Flood insurance, when applicable
- HOA and CDD fees
- Repairs and maintenance
- Costs associated with selling
- Possible concessions to the next buyer
- Whatever the real estate market happens to be doing three years from now
A Simple Three-Year Example
Let's say a military family purchases a $450,000 home.
Three years later, orders arrive.
The home is now worth more than they paid for it.
That's great, but the right question isn't:
“Did our house appreciate?”
The question is:
“After everything we spent to buy, own and sell this property, are we financially better off than we would have been renting?”
Those are very different questions.
There can certainly be exceptions.
Maybe we find a property below market value. Maybe the buyer is comfortable renovating an older home and creating equity. Maybe there's a unique opportunity where the numbers work.
But even a value-add strategy can be a hard mountain to climb in 36 months.
I don't want someone's entire financial strategy to depend on Tampa real estate appreciating by a certain percentage during one military assignment.
Does the VA Funding Fee Increase When You Use Your VA Loan Again?
This is another part of the calculation that sometimes gets overlooked.
For a VA purchase with less than 5% down, the current funding fee is generally:
First use: 2.15%
After first use: 3.3%
The current rates are scheduled to apply to loans closing before November 14, 2031. (VA News)
For example, on a hypothetical $450,000 VA base loan amount:
2.15% funding fee = $9,675
3.3% funding fee = $14,850
That's a difference of $5,175.
The funding fee can generally be financed into the VA loan rather than paid entirely in cash at closing, but that also means increasing the amount being financed. (VA News)
This is also why we don't automatically assume that zero down is always the best strategy simply because VA allows it.
With at least 5% down, the current VA purchase funding fee is 1.5% for both first and subsequent use. With at least 10% down, it drops to 1.25%. (VA News)
That doesn't mean I'm telling veterans they should put money down.
Sometimes keeping that cash available is far more valuable.
It just means we want to understand the numbers before deciding.
What If You Have a VA Disability Rating?
Many veterans are exempt from paying the VA funding fee.
VA says exemptions include veterans receiving compensation for a service-connected disability and veterans who would be eligible for that compensation but instead receive retirement or active-duty pay. Certain surviving spouses and Purple Heart recipients also may qualify. (VA News)
So, for example, a veteran with a compensable 10% service-connected disability rating will generally be exempt.
This is something we have the lender verify through the veteran's VA documentation rather than assuming.
And when you're comparing renting to buying, eliminating a funding fee of thousands of dollars can materially change the calculation.
What Changes If You Plan to Keep the Home as a Rental?
A lot.
We are currently helping a young military couple who is doing exactly this.
They already own a home in the Florida Panhandle. Instead of selling it, their plan is to turn that home into a rental.
Now they are purchasing a home here in Tampa Bay to live in during his tour at MacDill.
When he eventually retires, the plan is to keep the Tampa property and convert it into another rental.
That's a completely different strategy than:
Buy → live there three years → sell.
They're asking:
“Does this property make sense for us to own for the next 10, 15 or 20 years?”
That changes what we're looking for.
It changes how much we recommend spending.
It changes how we evaluate neighborhoods.
It changes how we compare new construction to resale.
It changes how important the future rental value becomes.
And it changes how we think about cash flow.
We were very transparent with them that the Tampa property may not produce significant positive cash flow immediately when they eventually convert it into a rental.
They were okay with that.
Because cash flow is only one part of the investment.
How Does a Rental Property Make Money?
When people think about investment property, they usually think about monthly cash flow.
But we look at four different buckets.
1. Monthly Cash Flow
This is the money left after the income and expenses associated with the property.
If a house rents for $3,300 and the mortgage payment is $3,000, it's tempting to say:
“Great. We make $300 a month.”
Not necessarily.
We also need to consider:
- Property taxes
- Homeowners insurance
- Flood insurance
- HOA and CDD
- Maintenance
- Repairs
- Vacancy
- Property management
- Leasing costs
- Reserves for larger future expenses
That $300 can disappear very quickly.
And Tampa Bay is not always an easy immediate-cash-flow market for someone buying a home at today's prices.
We tell clients that.
I'm not interested in manipulating a rental estimate until we can make a property look like a good investment.
Sometimes the honest answer is:
“You're probably going to be close to break-even in the beginning.”
2. Your Tenant Helps Pay Down Your Mortgage
This part can get overlooked because it doesn't show up as cash going into your checking account each month.
Your tenant's rent helps make the mortgage payment.
A portion of that payment reduces the loan balance.
So imagine keeping a property for 10 or 15 years.
You may not have put hundreds of dollars in your pocket every month, but you've owned an asset while someone else helped you pay down the debt attached to it.
That has value.
3. Long-Term Appreciation
Real estate can appreciate over time.
Tampa Bay has experienced significant periods of appreciation, and appreciation can be an important part of long-term real estate ownership.
But it isn't guaranteed.
And I would never tell a military family:
“Don't worry. The house will appreciate enough before you PCS.”
We don't know that.
For someone planning to own an asset for 10, 15 or 20 years, appreciation can be an important part of the long-term strategy.
For someone selling in three years, I don't want appreciation to be the only thing making the deal work.
4. Potential Tax Benefits
There may also be tax benefits associated with owning rental real estate, including depreciation and the treatment of certain property expenses.
There can also be tax consequences later when the property is sold.
We're REALTORS®, not CPAs, so we don't give our clients tax advice.
We simply make sure they understand that taxation is another bucket to evaluate and encourage them to have that conversation with their CPA or tax professional.
What Will the House Rent for After You PCS?
This is one of the most important questions we ask when someone tells us from the beginning:
“I'm probably going to turn this into a rental.”
Now we aren't simply evaluating the property as a house.
We're evaluating it as an asset.
For example:
House A
Purchase price: $550,000
Projected future rent: $3,000
House B
Purchase price: $475,000
Projected future rent: $3,100
House A may have the gorgeous kitchen, larger primary suite and prettier finishes.
But if the buyer's long-term strategy is to create a rental portfolio, House B suddenly deserves a lot of attention.
So while we're helping them buy, we're already thinking:
“What would somebody realistically pay to rent this house when you leave?”
We're thinking about the next move before we've finished the current one.
Is New Construction Good for Military Buyers Who Plan to Rent Later?
It can be.
When veterans or active-duty buyers tell us they plan to live in a home for a few years and then keep it as a rental, we frequently include new construction in the search.
Not because new construction is always better.
It isn't.
But it can have some real advantages for this strategy.
Newer Homes May Require Less Maintenance
Newer roof.
Newer HVAC.
Newer plumbing and electrical systems.
Newer appliances.
For someone who may eventually own the house while stationed hundreds or thousands of miles away, reducing major maintenance exposure can be valuable.
Builder Financing Incentives Can Matter Later
Builders frequently use financing incentives to help sell homes.
Depending on the builder and community, that could mean a lower mortgage rate or closing-cost assistance.
A lower mortgage payment matters tremendously when that home eventually becomes a rental.
Consider two hypothetical homes that both eventually rent for $3,100.
Property A monthly housing payment: $3,150
Property B monthly housing payment: $2,850
That's a $300 difference every month.
The rent didn't change.
The financing did.
And that can completely change the future investment.
Newer Homes Can Be Attractive to Renters
Modern floor plans, updated kitchens, energy-efficient features and neighborhood amenities can also be attractive to tenants.
But there's another side to this.
What Are the Risks of Buying New Construction as a Future Rental?
Imagine buying in a community where the builder ultimately delivers 2,000 very similar homes.
Three years later, you PCS and put yours up for rent.
There are now 17 other homes with almost the exact same floor plan competing for tenants.
That's something we need to think about today.
When we're considering new construction as a future rental, we're also asking:
- How much more construction is planned?
- How many similar homes could become rentals?
- What are comparable properties actually renting for?
- Is there a CDD?
- What are the HOA fees?
- Does the HOA restrict rentals?
- Will builders still be competing against resale owners several years from now?
New construction can be an excellent option.
But “new” does not automatically mean “good investment.”
Can an Existing Home Be a Better Future Rental?
Absolutely.
An established neighborhood may offer:
- Limited future construction
- Less competition from identical properties
- Larger lots
- Better proximity to MacDill
- Established rental demand
- No CDD
- Opportunities to create value through renovations
Maybe we find a home with dated flooring, an older kitchen and good bones.
The buyer makes improvements while living there.
They get to enjoy those improvements during the assignment, and they may potentially create additional value before converting the house to a rental.
Again, we don't start with:
“New construction is better.”
Or:
“Resale is better.”
We start with:
“What are you trying to accomplish?”
Then we work backward.
Before You Buy, Can You Actually Rent the Property Later?
This sounds obvious.
But it's incredibly important.
If you tell me your plan is to convert the house into a rental after your MacDill assignment, we need to investigate the association rules before you buy.
Depending on the property and community, there can be:
- Rental caps
- Minimum lease periods
- Waiting periods before leasing
- Tenant approval requirements
- Restrictions on lease frequency
- Other HOA or condominium leasing rules
A beautiful property with excellent projected rental income isn't a very good future rental if the association doesn't allow you to execute your plan.
That's something I want to know before we close, not three years later.
How Do Tampa Bay Insurance and Flood Costs Affect a Future Rental?
This is where local knowledge becomes especially important.
An online mortgage calculator may tell you what principal and interest should cost.
It doesn't know whether one Tampa Bay property could have substantially different insurance costs than another property a few miles away.
We're also looking at:
- Homeowners insurance
- Flood insurance when applicable
- Flood zone
- Roof age
- Wind mitigation
- Property condition
- Potential future repair exposure
Two houses that cost exactly the same amount can have completely different carrying costs.
Those expenses eventually affect whether the rental works.
What Happens to Property Taxes When the Home Becomes a Rental?
This is another item we don't want military homeowners overlooking.
A buyer shouldn't automatically assume today's owner-occupied property-tax situation will remain identical after the property is no longer their primary residence.
Florida homestead benefits and the way a property is assessed can affect future carrying costs.
We don't provide tax advice, but when rental conversion is part of the plan, we encourage buyers to understand what the future tax picture could look like and speak with the appropriate tax professional.
Can You Buy a Home With a VA Loan and Rent It After You PCS?
Yes, potentially, but there is an important distinction.
A VA purchase loan is designed to finance a veteran or service member's primary residence, not a property purchased strictly as an investment.
The veteran generally must intend to occupy the property as their home. (Benefits)
What we're talking about in this article is different:
Buy the home legitimately as your primary residence while stationed at MacDill.
Then, when military orders or other circumstances eventually take you elsewhere, consider converting that former residence into a rental.
That is not the same thing as using a VA loan to purchase an investment property you never intend to occupy.
Can You Use Your VA Loan Again If You Keep the First House?
Potentially.
This is where remaining VA entitlement becomes important.
Keeping a home with an outstanding VA loan does not automatically mean you'll never be able to use your VA benefit again.
Depending on the veteran's remaining entitlement, existing loan, purchase price and qualification, another VA purchase may be possible.
This is also where that subsequent-use funding fee we discussed earlier may become relevant if the borrower isn't exempt.
For military families who want to build a real estate portfolio over multiple duty stations, this needs to be part of the long-term plan.
And we work closely with an experienced VA lender to run those numbers instead of guessing.
Stress-Test the Future Rental Before You Buy
One of the last things I would encourage any military buyer to do is look at the property under something other than a perfect scenario.
Let's say we believe the house will eventually rent for $3,200.
Okay.
What happens if it only rents for $2,900?
What happens if it's vacant for a month?
What happens if homeowners insurance increases?
What happens if the HVAC needs to be replaced?
What happens if you're stationed across the country and decide you need professional property management?
If the investment completely falls apart because the rent is $200 lower than expected, that's important information.
I'd rather discover that on a spreadsheet before you purchase.
So, Should You Buy or Rent During a Three-Year MacDill Assignment?
Here's how I would break it down.
Buy → Live There Three Years → Sell
Proceed carefully.
Buying can absolutely work.
But when the holding period is only three years, there isn't much room for transaction costs, maintenance expenses or an unfavorable market.
There are circumstances where we will recommend that a military family rent instead.
Buy → Live There Three Years → Keep It as a Rental
Now we're having an entirely different conversation.
We're looking at:
- Purchase price
- Financing
- VA funding fee
- Monthly payment
- Projected rent
- Insurance
- Flood exposure
- Property taxes
- HOA and CDD
- Rental restrictions
- Maintenance
- Vacancy
- Property management
- Principal reduction
- Long-term appreciation potential
- Potential tax treatment
- Remaining VA entitlement
- And how all of this fits into your family's long-term financial plans
That's no longer simply a home search.
It's an investment decision.
And I believe it deserves to be treated like one.
Sometimes the Best Advice We Can Give a Veteran Is Not to Buy a House
Sometimes our advice is:
Buy this house.
Sometimes it's:
Don't buy that house. It doesn't work for the future rental strategy you told us you want.
Sometimes it's:
Spend less because the projected rent doesn't support this monthly payment.
Sometimes it's:
Let's take a serious look at new construction because the financing incentive could improve the long-term numbers.
And sometimes it's:
Don't buy at all. Rent during this assignment.
Our job isn't simply to get a veteran into a house.
It's to help them make a decision they'll still feel good about when the next set of orders arrives.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is it worth buying a house if I'm stationed at MacDill AFB for only three years?
It can be, but your exit strategy matters. If you expect to sell after three years, purchasing and selling costs combined with unpredictable market conditions can make renting the better financial choice. If you intend to keep the property as a long-term rental, buying deserves a different analysis.
Does the VA funding fee increase the second time I use a VA loan?
For VA purchase loans with less than 5% down, the current funding fee is generally 2.15% for first use and 3.3% after first use. With at least 5% down, the current rate is 1.5% for both first and subsequent use, and at least 10% down reduces it to 1.25%. (VA News)
Does a veteran with a disability rating pay the VA funding fee?
Veterans receiving VA disability compensation for a service-connected disability are generally exempt from paying the VA funding fee. Other exemption categories also exist, so the borrower's status should be verified with VA and the lender. (VA News)
Can I rent out a house I bought with my VA loan?
A VA purchase loan is intended for a primary residence. A military homeowner who legitimately purchases and occupies the home as a residence may later decide to convert that property into a rental after relocating. The specific loan and occupancy circumstances should be reviewed with the lender.
Can I use my VA home-loan benefit more than once?
Yes. VA home-loan benefits can be used more than once. How much entitlement is available for another purchase depends on the veteran's individual situation and any existing VA-financed properties.
Is new construction better if I plan to rent the home after I PCS?
Sometimes. Newer homes may require less near-term maintenance, and builder financing incentives can reduce the monthly payment. But buyers should also evaluate HOA and CDD fees, leasing restrictions, future construction and competing rental inventory.
What makes a good future rental property near MacDill AFB?
We look at purchase price, monthly payment, realistic future rent, insurance, flood exposure, property taxes, HOA/CDD expenses, maintenance requirements, rental restrictions, neighborhood demand, vacancy risk and competing rental inventory.
Should I count on Tampa Bay appreciation if I'm only going to own the house for three years?
No. Appreciation can contribute to long-term real estate wealth, but it isn't guaranteed. We don't recommend making a three-year buying decision dependent upon a specific level of future appreciation.
Categories
Recent Posts









GET MORE INFORMATION

Broker-Owner
